As far as W-L prediction....... 12-21. I will break it out as follows:
Start the season 2-2 vs Bucknell, UMASS, at Holy Cross, at Loyola Next 4 will be tough 0-4 (@maryland, Orlando Invitational) Final 3 OOC..... 2-1 (W&M, @oakland, At Wagner) ------ OOC ------ 4-7
MAAC Regular season. 1-1 vs the following 7 teams Niagara Canisius, SPC, Marist, Manhattan, Quinnipiac, Monmouth 0-2 vs top teams. That would be 0-6 vs Iona, Rider, Siena ------ MAAC Regular season ------ 7-13
Win a PIG game, lose to a Top 4 MAAC team ------ MAAC Tourney ------ 1-1
A 12-21 record is contingent on us having 1 guard on our team that is considered to be All MAAC If we have 2 guards that are considered All MAAC, then our record could be 14-20 If we have no All MAAC guards, I would say we finish with a similar record as last year 9-22
Post by reindeerfan on Oct 27, 2019 20:10:51 GMT -5
Tough to do game by game predictions this early. People get hurt on both sides affecting game outcomes. I make my picks assuming we have Aidas performing well. Without him, the guard depth is shaky, and we are asking an awful lot of Taj, Calvin and Landon.
vs Bucknell L vs UMass L @ Holy Cross W @ Loyola (MD) W @ Maryland L vs USC L vs Marquette/Davidson L vs Maryland/Tample/Texas A&M/ Harvard L vs William & Mary L @ Oakland L @ Wagner W @ Niagara W @ Canisius L vs Marist W vs Manhattan L vs Saint Peter's W @ Iona L @ Quinnipiac L vs Canisius W @ Rider L vs Monmouth L @ Siena L vs Iona L @ Marist W @ Saint Peter's W vs Niagara W vs Siena L vs Quinnipiac W vs Rider L @ Monmouth L @ Manhattan W Loss in second round Maac Tournament 1-1
Weirdly even though I was very close with prediction I do think they have still exceeded my expectations. Our defense and rebounding have been impressive and offense will come with different personnel.
I wanted to say for next week I think if we are #7 seed we go 1-1. #8/9 seed will be a crap shoot and I don't know if we make it out of that game.
Weirdly even though I was very close with prediction I do think they have still exceeded my expectations. Our defense and rebounding have been impressive and offense will come with different personnel.
I wanted to say for next week I think if we are #7 seed we go 1-1. #8/9 seed will be a crap shoot and I don't know if we make it out of that game.
Tough to do game by game predictions this early. People get hurt on both sides affecting game outcomes. I make my picks assuming we have Aidas performing well. Without him, the guard depth is shaky, and we are asking an awful lot of Taj, Calvin and Landon.
vs Bucknell L vs UMass L @ Holy Cross W @ Loyola (MD) W @ Maryland L vs USC L vs Marquette/Davidson L vs Maryland/Tample/Texas A&M/ Harvard L vs William & Mary L @ Oakland L @ Wagner W @ Niagara W @ Canisius L vs Marist W vs Manhattan L vs Saint Peter's W @ Iona L @ Quinnipiac L vs Canisius W @ Rider L vs Monmouth L @ Siena L vs Iona L @ Marist W @ Saint Peter's W vs Niagara W vs Siena L vs Quinnipiac W vs Rider L @ Monmouth L @ Manhattan W Loss in second round Maac Tournament 1-1 Overall - 13-20 (8-12)
Well if we can somehow beat Manhattan and win in the first round of the MAAC tourney, I will have nailed my prediction. But I too felt early in the season the team surpassed my expectations but this recent run of 3 straight losses has me feeling like we are underachieving. I expected at least one win during those three games, and the loss to quinnipiac gives the season finish a whole different feel. I realize it is only one shot that we lost by but it has put a damper on the seasons finish. The only way to turn that feeling around is to split the final four (hopefully) games. I hope we can do that. 0-3 and 6 straight to finish losses the season won't feel good.
Good job Gostags13, your predictions were nearly spot on.
That UMass loss still bothers me, that win was there for the taking if we just made one more play.
Well there was a handful of “swing” games that I think could have gone either way. If you were a fan of the team on the other side I think you’d be saying the same in a win/loss. Here are the 4 close games for wins and losses:
Wins: Holy Cross (OT win that was close), @oakland (We finishes the game to get to OT on a 13-0 run), Monmouth (In my opinion we had no business winning this game but somehow came out ahead), Niagara (to overcome a once 17 point deficient is pretty amazing but not the norm).
Losses: UMass (was close the whole way), loyola (definitely the worst loss of the year to me), W&M (home game that was ours for the taking and we just couldn’t close), QU (that Rigioni 3 will haunt me for a while).
Good job Gostags13, your predictions were nearly spot on.
That UMass loss still bothers me, that win was there for the taking if we just made one more play.
Well there was a handful of “swing” games that I think could have gone either way. If you were a fan of the team on the other side I think you’d be saying the same in a win/loss. Here are the 4 close games for wins and losses:
Wins: Holy Cross (OT win that was close), @oakland (We finishes the game to get to OT on a 13-0 run), Monmouth (In my opinion we had no business winning this game but somehow came out ahead), Niagara (to overcome a once 17 point deficient is pretty amazing but not the norm).
Losses: UMass (was close the whole way), loyola (definitely the worst loss of the year to me), W&M (home game that was ours for the taking and we just couldn’t close), QU (that Rigioni 3 will haunt me for a while).
Interesting discussion of the "swing" games that the Stags participated in this year. And in looking back at the results of the 29 games they have played so far and using the definition of 5 points or less or OT as a suggestion of the result being in doubt right until the end, basically they come out even in that regard. 7 wins and 6 losses means it's almost a wash. 3-1 in overtime contests BTW. But in looking at the REAL TIGHT games, IE those that basically went down to the final shot, actually the Stags were pretty lucky in that regard. Yes the Quinnipiac loss was hard to take, but as I have documented more than once, four other times the opponent had a shot in the air which if it had gone in would have defeated them. Holy Cross, Oakland, Marist and Niagara were those opponents. And there was another one (Monmouth) where their missed shot in the final few seconds which might have resulted in a Fairfield loss turned out to be another thrilling victory when AJ Rose picked up the rebound, dribbled the length of the floor and went coast to coast to lay in the winning shot in the last second. So on balance I think the team was lucky to garner the number of wins they did or else this year would have really been hard to take.
