Post by stag76 on Feb 6, 2024 8:56:07 GMT -5
Hoping we continue our winning ways and win the MAAC tournament in AC, but some have started to wonder will we get an at-large bid based on our overall outstanding record should we get upset in the MAAC tournament. Eamon Brennan used to cover college basketball for the Athletic, now he’s on Substack. He received a reply from the NCAA Director of Media Coordination indicating strength of record is on the team sheet as the committee evaluates at-large candidates.
Unfortunately, I have no idea what strength of record means, how it’s determined, or what ways it differs from strength of schedule. Also, I’m assuming the exact same set of criteria are used in selecting the women’s field as is used in selecting the men’s field.
From Brendan’s article:
In response to a reader conversation about strength of record, and whether or not Bubble Watch should emphasize its use proactively (versus interpreting what metrics we think the committee cares about), NCAA Director of Media Coordination/Statistics David Worlock popped in with this:
For what it's worth, SOR is absolutely on the team sheet and part of the committee's evaluation of teams (and generally carries more weight than SOS because, as James pointed out, SOS is baked in to the NET and other metrics).
This is a pretty significant development! For years, we have included strength of schedule as the headline metric alongside NET (and before it, RPI), because we assumed those were the first two numbers the committee itself would emphasize — the two numbers that best summarized a team’s standing in the world. Of course strength of schedule doesn’t make the most sense in that role. Strength of schedule is a pretty flimsy secondary number that just tells us what a team’s schedule looked like free of much context; strength of record actually tells us how a team performed against that schedule.
open.substack.com/pub/eamonnbrennan/p/bubble-watch-strength-versus-strength?r=3nstj&utm_medium=ios&utm_campaign=post
Unfortunately, I have no idea what strength of record means, how it’s determined, or what ways it differs from strength of schedule. Also, I’m assuming the exact same set of criteria are used in selecting the women’s field as is used in selecting the men’s field.
From Brendan’s article:
In response to a reader conversation about strength of record, and whether or not Bubble Watch should emphasize its use proactively (versus interpreting what metrics we think the committee cares about), NCAA Director of Media Coordination/Statistics David Worlock popped in with this:
For what it's worth, SOR is absolutely on the team sheet and part of the committee's evaluation of teams (and generally carries more weight than SOS because, as James pointed out, SOS is baked in to the NET and other metrics).
This is a pretty significant development! For years, we have included strength of schedule as the headline metric alongside NET (and before it, RPI), because we assumed those were the first two numbers the committee itself would emphasize — the two numbers that best summarized a team’s standing in the world. Of course strength of schedule doesn’t make the most sense in that role. Strength of schedule is a pretty flimsy secondary number that just tells us what a team’s schedule looked like free of much context; strength of record actually tells us how a team performed against that schedule.
open.substack.com/pub/eamonnbrennan/p/bubble-watch-strength-versus-strength?r=3nstj&utm_medium=ios&utm_campaign=post
